Her er en rigtig godt artikel, som viser at det var det rigtige tidspunkt, Trump og Bibi valgte til at trække tænderne ud på ayatollah-regimet. Som altid tænker Trump strategisk
Det viser Clarice Feldman her !
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By patiently and methodically setting the stage, President Trump has realigned the Middle East, formed a strong new alliance against communism and narcoterrorism in this hemisphere, and is forcing power-grabbing federal judges to stay within their constitutional lane.
The Middle East
There are ridiculous claims about the targeting of the Mullahocracy. The truth is clearer: Iran posed an obvious threat to almost every country. In negotiations with Iran to avoid warfare, Steve Witkoff was informed by Iran’s negotiators that it was “proud” it had evaded all previous ”oversight protocols.” They bragged that they controlled “360 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium” from which they could make 11 nuclear bombs.
Not only did they have the capacity to produce these bombs, but their “attack potential at the start of the war was considerable.” Europe’s hesitance to act, in part, must reflect its incapacity for defense against this arsenal.
Roughly 500 missiles and 2,000 drones were fired off by the Islamic Republic in OEF to date. That number would have been much higher without heavy US/Israeli launcher destruction. Of the missiles ~71% targeted the Gulf region vs. ~29% toward Israel. Missiles are reckoned to be harder to stop and hence devoted to the hard target. Of drones ~95% were aimed at the Gulf region vs. ~5% to Israel. The UAE reports intercepting 165 ballistic missiles, 2 cruise missiles, and 541 drones (only ~35 drones penetrated). Kuwait intercepted 97 ballistic missiles and 283 drones. Bahrain downed 45 missiles and 9 drones (minor penetration at a U.S. naval headquarters). Qatar took out ~18 ballistic/cruise missiles and drones combined. Saudi published no numbers but their effectiveness is probably comparable. Although airports were closed there were no mass casualties. Gulf defenses, while not perfect, were good. Gulf states (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, and Bahrain) currently have more robust, layered, and combat-proven air and missile defenses against drones and missiles than most European cities or NATO European countries. This stems from decades of investment driven by direct threats (e.g., Houthi and now Iranian attacks), heavy reliance on top-tier U.S. systems, and real-world testing in high-volume salvos. European defenses, while improving via NATO initiatives, suffer from capacity shortages, gaps (especially against low-cost drone swarms), and limited operational experience at scale. The huge Islamic Republic attack capacity, had it been directed against less defended targets, had the potential to be far more effective. The sole defense of swathes of Europe lay in not provoking Iran for as the numbers suggest they were ill prepared to withstand the hail it unleashed.
The groundwork for the assault was well-planned and carried out.
In hindsight, Trump is, in fact, playing 4-D chess. Astonishingly, the United States faces zero organized resistance to the Iran operation. No countries are demanding UN Security Council votes. The General Assembly isn’t passing resolutions condemning American aggression in Tehran. Iran has no allies providing it with any material support. Its most important ally – Russia — evacuated its teams just before the strikes began. Iran’s Muslim neighbors are helping with the operation.
Even the Europeans are staying out of the way, and some EU countries are helping. (The UK is fixing its boat as fast as it can. Baby steps.)
Nothing like that kind of universal support/non-opposition has ever happened before. How did Trump do it? By demolishing USAID, draining the Swamp, and spending a year building a tariff dashboard, he surgically transformed global anti-Americanism into something that looks more like sullen cooperation, if not outright pro-Americanism.
He did it in one year. And only then — after creating a favorable global economic environment — did President Trump begin the kinetic phase, a whirlwind of military activity and consolidation.
Domestic criticism against this necessary war reflects its alarm that the “NGO-Administrative Complex [snip] that has increasingly controlled American domestic life on immigration policy, energy regulation, education standards, election infrastructure, and more” was being gelded. “The regime change is theirs.”
Every act that reasserts American sovereignty — on Iran, on trade, on immigration, on energy — is an act of regime change against the supranational order that has governed American life, foreign and domestic, for at least 70 years. The strikes on Khamenei’s compound are a demonstration that a sovereign nation, acting in its own interest, does not need institutional permission. The Trump Administration just showed that the veto that the multilateral order spent decades embedding into American foreign policy — through think tanks, through NGOs, through carefully managed BRICS adversaries — can simply be ignored.
This is how the NGO-Administrative Complex dies. One sovereign act at a time.
Russia skedaddled early from its ally, Iran. China made a big losing investment
there, and with Iran threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz, China’s second source of oil (after Venezuela which it already just lost) it must acknowledge its impotence to do anything to keep the strait open. (Trump can and is doing that, and will certainly control Iranian oil exports when it does.)
China is pressuring Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. There is one problem. Iran did not close it. Seven insurance companies in London did. China buys 80% of Iran’s shipped oil. Beijing has a $400 billion, 25-year cooperation agreement with Tehran. China is Iran’s economic lifeline. If any country on earth has leverage over Iran, it is China. And China is now using that leverage to demand the Strait reopens. But the Strait was not closed by a sovereign decision. It was closed by the withdrawal of reinsurance capacity from five to ten firms, mostly in London, backstopping twelve P&I clubs that cover 90% of global tonnage. Iran did not order those firms to withdraw. Iran cannot order them to reinstate. Neither can China. Even if Tehran capitulates entirely tonight and the IRGC stands down, not a single reinsurer reinstates Gulf war risk coverage on a phone call from Beijing. Reinstatement requires rebuilt risk models, voyage-by-voyage re-underwriting, repriced treaty capacity, and a threat environment that actuaries can quantify. None of that exists while 440.9 kilograms of weapons-grade uranium remains unaccounted for and the IRGC is still launching drones at Oman. China has leverage over Iran. China has zero leverage over Lloyd’s of London. This is the part nobody is modelling. The country with the most to lose and the most leverage over the belligerent cannot fix the mechanism that actually closed the Strait. Because the mechanism is not geopolitical. It is actuarial. And actuaries do not take calls from the Politburo.
If Iran thought its proxies and the countries they control would come to its aid, it planned poorly. Even a weak Lebanon declared Hezb’allah illegal and is both unable and unwilling to halt Israel attacks on this proxy on Lebanese territory.
“Lebanese media footage shows an Israeli strike leveling a multi-story building in Beirut’s southern suburbs tonight. The IDF says that since Monday it has hit more than 500 targets across Lebanon, including 170 rocket launchers, with over 100 strikes carried out today alone, many in Hezbollah’s stronghold in southern Beirut.”
The Western Hemisphere Muscles Up
Closer to home, Trump is taking on the cartels:
Trump is going to purge the cartels from Mexico, the Caribbean and South America. He’s working top-down. Maduro and Venezuela were the big piece. Leo Silva, a former DEA special agent and group supervisory agent in Mexico, told me in conversation on the Brave New Normal podcast that Maduro has long been known as a top of the mountain figure in transnational narcotics, and has actively been working on behalf of cartels since he replaced Chavez (episode premieres March 18th). The US took out Maduro first because Venezuela is a major transport point for cocaine, fentanyl and methamphetamine moving north through the southern hemisphere. Taking out Maduro left a huge gap in that transportation route. El Mencho was next because of his influence in Mexico and power over Mexican government and authorities. Now the US is bringing down the hammer to secure the American continent. This is what Trump meant by America First — it’s not just a mission to secure the United States of America, it’s a mission to secure THE AMERICAS, which means north, south and the Caribbean. Trump and his administration know that the cartels own this part of the world, and that the cartels are working hand in hand with China. The Cuba purge will be an overnight operation. The Latin America purge will be a much longer battle but no match for US, Mexican and Salvadoran special forces. If the US can break up the cartels and shut down the transportation routes then they will starve out whatever remains. This is America First in action. It’s not about empire building, it’s about securing the empire that already exists.
This week, hemispheric leaders are joining in solidarity in Florida. Ecuador, with the aid of U.S. troops on the ground, is cleaning out its narco cartels and Paraguay has invited us in to do the same. It’s amazing to watch the rapid cleaning up around the world. That this hurts our major opponent, China, and Islamist thugs is a delightful bonus. In a week or two, Cuba will be free of its decades-long Communist imprisonment and destruction. 90% of the country is in an energy-short blackout, food and medicine are scarcer than ever. The remarkably talented Secretary of State Marco Rubio will oversee the transition.
U.S. District Court Judges Being Forced Back in Their Own Lane
Two major cases this week continue to prevent District Court judges from exerting extra-constitutional authority. Both the Seventh and Ninth Circuits whacked District Court judges who had decided they had more than the right to interpret laws — that they were entitled to exercise what is rightfully the power of the executive branch. In the first instance, the Seventh Circuit vacated an injunction restricting use of force by ICE in Chicago. In the second case, the Ninth Circuit ruled that Trump’s executive order suspending the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program was lawful, vacating most of the preliminary injunction against carrying out that order. Jeff Childers offers a clear explanation of these cases and their impact.
Judge Kenneth Lee thought the rebuke of the district judge by the Ninth Circuit majority was insufficient. In a partial dissent, he said something which ought to be engraved on all federal courthouses: ”Our constitutional structure will topple if a single district court sits atop the President, Congress, the Supreme Court, and the federal appellate court.”
For those of us watching these judicial tyrants in anger for some time, this has also been a great week for liberty and law.
Related Topics: Iran, Courts, Mexico, Trump
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Men alle pseudojournalister og deres udvalgt “ekperter” kan jo ikke andet end at klynke over Trump og Bibi …
Hør, hvad Iran sagde til USAs forhandler her !
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