Den finske systemanalytikern Kyösti Tarvainen har opdateret sine demografiske prognoser over udviklingen af befolkning i Sverige, Danmark , Norge og Finland
Her er først en kort beskrivelse af modellens parametre:
TFR står for Total Fertiliti Rate og er defineret her som:
“The TFR is, therefore, a measure of the fertility of an imaginary woman who passes through her reproductive life subject to all the age-specific fertility rates for ages 15–49 that were recorded for a given population in a given year. The TFR represents the average number of children a woman would potentially have, were she to fast-forward through all her childbearing years in a single year, under all the age-specific fertility rates for that year. In other words, this rate is the number of children a woman would have if she was subject to prevailing fertility rates at all ages from a single given year, and survives throughout all her childbearing years. “
Her er nogle af hans grafer:
Og alligevel fortsætter og fortsætter importen af ikke vestlige flygtninge/indvandere : alt går jo godt : don’t mention the war …
Taget herfra og her, hvor du kan læse mere og se alle graferne
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