Der er ingen ‘klima-krise’ ifølge ny rapport fra den anerkendte forsker Indur Goklany.

There is no “climate emergency”, according to a study for the Global Warming Policy Foundation by independent scientist Dr Indur Goklany.

It will be hard for green activists to dismiss Goklany as a “denier”. His credentials as a climate expert are impeccable. He was a member of the U.S. delegation that established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and helped develop its First Assessment Rep

Mere her

Rapporten er her.

Og her er konklusionerne:

10. Conclusion
    While climate may have changed for the warmer:
    • Most extreme weather phenomena have not become more
    extreme, more deadly, or more destructive.
    • Empirical evidence directly contradicts claims that increased
    carbon dioxide has reduced human wellbeing. In fact, human
    wellbeing has never been higher.
    • Whatever detrimental effects warming and higher carbon
    dioxide may have had on terrestrial species and ecosystems,
    they have been swamped by the contribution of fossil fuels to
    increased biological productivity. This has halted, and turned
    around, reductions in habitat loss.
    Table6: Human welfare: the standard narrative versus reality
    Claimed or implied impact Reality to date Section Access to water will decline While pressure has gone up with population, access to cleaner water is up
    2
    Mortality from EWEs will increase False. Mortality rate from EWEs has
    declined by 99% since the 1920s
    2
    More people will die from heat Fewer people are dying from heat. Globally, about 15 times as many people die from cold than heat, so warming should, if anything, have reduced mortality
    2
    Economic losses from EWEs will increase False 2
    Death rates from climate-sensitive diseases (e.g. malaria and diarrhea) will increase False. Global crude death rates have declined 96% since 1900 for malaria. Agestandardised death rates for diarrheal diseases have declined 56% since 1990
    4
    Hunger will become more prevalent False. Hunger rates have declined in the long term despite a 250% population increase since 1961
    5
    GDP per capita will decline False. GDP per capita has quadrupled
    since 1950 even as CO2 have sextupled
    7
    Poverty will increase False. Global poverty rates have declined
    significantly since 1820 because GDP per capita have increased 14-fold
    7
    Life expectancy will decline False. Global life expectancy has more
    than doubled since the start of industrialisation
    7
    Public health will suffer False. Health-adjusted life expectancy has
    increased with economic development, and energy use
    7
    Human development index (HDI) will decline, and quality of life will decline False. HDI has increased, and more people have access to, and use, modern amenities such as electricity, the Internet and mobile phones
    7
    Inequality will expand Globally inequality has decreased in terms
    of incomes, life expectancies, HDI, as well as access to modern-day amenities
    7
    Biological productivity is under threat The earth is greener and more productive. Habitat lost to agriculture has peaked due to fossil fuel dependent technologies
    8
    33
    34
    • To the extent that inequality is deplorable, global inequality
    in terms of income, life expectancy, human development and
    access to modern amenities have declined and continue to
    decline.
    • The detrimental effects of carbon dioxide and fossil fuels are
    overwhelmed by other concurrent changes that are beneficial.
    • Fossil fuels have allowed the population to increase even as
    the wellbeing of the average person has improved and the
    Earth has become greener and more productive. As a result,
    habitat lost to human uses has been halted, despite population increases. These are the very definitions of success for a species.
    In the future, books on agnotology will devote chapters to how the
    standard narrative on climate change impacts took hold among
    the religious and secular leaders of the 21st century despite copious evidence to the contrary.
11. 
    Note
    The UK Met Office declined GWPF’s offer to publish a counterview as
    an appendix to this paper.