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The UAE is prepared to fight for its life against Iran, and has militarily joined the U.S. and Israel in taking down the region’s largest supporter of terrorism. Although it acted secretly, the UAE reportedly attacked a refinery on Lavan Island in the Persian Gulf; the attack took the facility offline for months.
Iran has attacked the UAE aggressively, sending 2,800 missiles and drones into the country. The UAE responded to these attacks, and the U.S. and Israel quietly acknowledged and welcome their support.
Out of all the Gulf countries, the UAE is the only one that has responded to Iran’s attacks. It also signaled its unhappiness with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), which was supposed to contribute to cohesion among the Gulf states—the council provided logistical support but almost no political or military backing when the UAE was attacked. The Emirates leaving OPEC will also put a crimp in the activities of OPEC and the GCC.
The UAE’s military response is in part a result of their joining Israel in the Abraham Accords, along with Bahrain and Morocco. (Kazakhstan indicated it intends to join, and Saudi Arabia is non-committal.) Originally, people primarily saw the Accords as a boon to trade and communications between the nations involved, but the UAE has demonstrated the importance of the Accords concerning military matters, and their fighting is a testament to their strong relationship with Israel.
The consequences of the response against Iran are not insignificant:
People familiar with the matter told the newspaper that Emirati forces targeted a refinery on Iran’s Lavan Island in the Gulf in early April.
The UAE has not publicly acknowledged the operation. The strike reportedly triggered a large fire and disabled much of the facility’s capacity for months….
Given the rapport that has been building between the UAE and Israel over the last few years, the change in their relationship is impressive. Israel has been assertive in its support of the Emirates:
In a historic and highly classified move, Israel deployed an active Iron Dome battery, accompanied by dozens of Israel Defense Forces operators, directly to the UAE to help defend Emirati airspace. This marked the very first time Israel deployed its premier air defense system and its own troops to protect a foreign Arab nation. Integrated with U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) and existing Emirati air defenses, the Iron Dome intercepted dozens of incoming Iranian projectiles, physically saving Emirati lives and infrastructure.
This deployment fundamentally rewrites the strategic calculus of the Middle East. It proves the original, unspoken thesis of the Abraham Accords: ‘peace for peace’ built on the bedrock of collective security against Tehran.
Ultimately the war with Iran will likely have a transformational effect on the region. The countries that remain in the GCC now realize that they can’t count on that organization for protection. They also realize that their alliance with the UAE is not as strong as it has been in the past, particularly since the Gulf countries have not provided any military support to the UAE. They also realize that the UAE has developed a powerful alliance not only with the U.S., but also with Israel. And they will be on their own against the military of Iran.
The future suddenly looks brighter.
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Der er – lige nu – en lille kurre på tråden, idet Bibi offentligt sagt at han har besøgt UAE under kampene mod Muallaherne – det har UAE benægtet …
Kun en af påstandende kan være rigtig – jeg tror på at Bibi har ret, men det er ikke særlig smart af ham at lufte sådan en udtalelse uden først at have aftalt det med UAE .
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